Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ENS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-09 8.892129 9.898743 10.999827 12.298266 13.793423 15.468067 17.495340
2025-11-16 7.416172 8.722385 10.253800 12.198122 14.624212 17.582590 21.511026
2025-11-23 6.450475 7.863304 9.597220 11.911290 14.964018 18.918902 24.540290
2025-11-30 5.835710 7.321670 9.214218 11.846217 15.484817 20.450485 27.944476
2025-12-07 5.214314 6.690325 8.625652 11.406807 15.399886 21.087597 30.114528
2025-12-14 4.667814 6.100246 8.024023 10.865248 15.077207 21.301110 31.623339
2025-12-21 4.309170 5.730520 7.683531 10.644899 15.173922 22.113399 34.142151
2025-12-28 4.358519 5.926138 8.144081 11.623881 17.168000 26.083511 42.494339
2026-01-04 4.192949 5.797685 8.119368 11.859075 18.010929 28.290972 48.158220
2026-01-11 3.910483 5.476416 7.780742 11.568249 17.955236 28.954978 51.056495
2026-01-18 3.798642 5.400148 7.804594 11.853034 18.887091 31.454902 57.954527
2026-01-25 3.578287 5.143830 7.529712 11.620293 18.890522 32.252203 61.505885
2026-02-01 3.373780 4.906723 7.279948 11.427571 18.979779 33.289007 65.935081
2026-02-08 3.203443 4.713237 7.087543 11.317679 19.211286 34.641361 71.386774
2026-02-15 3.019092 4.485841 6.823435 11.057426 19.127405 35.338058 75.438366
2026-02-22 2.888735 4.337457 6.679600 10.998047 19.420994 36.855390 81.852659
2026-03-01 2.707034 4.095233 6.362658 10.597333 18.996287 36.766959 84.101234
2026-03-08 2.522619 3.839631 6.008857 10.102983 18.335984 36.076050 84.596024
2026-03-15 2.401604 3.683868 5.818451 9.901688 18.259599 36.698806 88.908558
2026-03-22 2.466589 3.843827 6.187015 10.795335 20.582986 43.279962 112.527576
2026-03-29 2.419937 3.809674 6.207656 11.009772 21.460401 46.516538 126.972735
2026-04-05 2.305721 3.652632 5.996980 10.744599 21.234889 46.920507 132.143510
2026-04-12 2.272863 3.636464 6.042860 11.004265 22.238682 50.703447 150.401061